Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables organization outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the third time this year due to falling prices and also reduced its anticipated sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the price of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has created a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the expected typical comparable sales margin of its renewables system to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted since the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' sales rates have been adversely affected by a considerable decrease in (the) diesel price throughout the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a declaration.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not reduced and sustainable item market value premiums have remained weak," the company included.


Industry executives and analysts have said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly growth plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.


Neste's share price had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT but remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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